Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.036580 0.042402 0.048859 0.056556 0.065483 0.075517 0.087659
2026-01-04 0.027594 0.035243 0.044586 0.056847 0.072538 0.091973 0.117927
2026-01-11 0.022210 0.030543 0.041498 0.056976 0.078330 0.106831 0.147894
2026-01-18 0.018807 0.027478 0.039583 0.057755 0.084428 0.122283 0.180355
2026-01-25 0.016504 0.025403 0.038490 0.059189 0.091241 0.139220 0.216937
2026-02-01 0.013944 0.022474 0.035604 0.057356 0.092676 0.148098 0.242319
2026-02-08 0.012207 0.020516 0.033851 0.056895 0.095966 0.159975 0.273716
2026-02-15 0.010768 0.018810 0.032220 0.056315 0.098834 0.171323 0.305515
2026-02-22 0.009816 0.017777 0.031540 0.057186 0.104173 0.187330 0.347318
2026-03-01 0.008825 0.016530 0.030307 0.056875 0.107290 0.199706 0.384058
2026-03-08 0.007803 0.015088 0.028532 0.055306 0.107825 0.207335 0.412742
2026-03-15 0.006927 0.013804 0.026883 0.053738 0.108105 0.214416 0.441128
2026-03-22 0.006449 0.013249 0.026579 0.054814 0.113828 0.232972 0.495588
2026-03-29 0.005933 0.012552 0.025917 0.055084 0.117962 0.248896 0.546904
2026-04-05 0.005461 0.011887 0.025230 0.055206 0.121779 0.264607 0.599901
2026-04-12 0.005099 0.011406 0.024866 0.055960 0.127041 0.284014 0.663753
2026-04-19 0.004825 0.011082 0.024796 0.057348 0.133877 0.307703 0.740682
2026-04-26 0.004336 0.010212 0.023416 0.055574 0.133209 0.314307 0.778075
2026-05-03 0.003995 0.009642 0.022647 0.055127 0.135604 0.328297 0.835363
2026-05-10 0.003681 0.009098 0.021873 0.054565 0.137640 0.341659 0.892913
2026-05-17 0.003483 0.008814 0.021681 0.055409 0.143271 0.364506 0.978063
2026-05-24 0.003237 0.008377 0.021066 0.055107 0.145937 0.380224 1.046552
2026-05-31 0.002949 0.007798 0.020030 0.053588 0.145219 0.387132 1.092078